Captain Marvel is on track for a solid opening weekend of around $100 million at the domestic box office. Here’s what that means.
It’s less than a month to the theatrical release of Captain Marvel. Being the first female-led superhero movie in the Marvel Universe, many are curious about how the movie will perform at the box office.
According to The Hollywood Reporter, the movie is on track for a debut of $100 million for its North America release. If these predictions turn out to be true, Captain Marvel will have the most successful box office introduction since summer 2018 with Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom.
To give some context, Wonder Woman had its debut at the box office with $103.3 million in the United States, and Ant-Man and the Wasp opened with $75.8 million domestically last July. Before that, in April 2018, Avengers: Infinity War had a box office debut of $257.7 million with Black Panther coming in with a really solid $202 million.
Of course, since Captain Marvel is the first female superhero movie for Marvel and really only the second major superhero movie led by a woman overall, there’s a question as to how this feminist film will fare financially. There’s been the typical pushback against the film’s feminist message, but overall as Forbes points out, Marvel has enough fans and enough people who are stoked to see Captain Marvel that the opening weekend should still be huge.
An analysis by Forbes also points out that there is a lot of variance when it comes to predicting these numbers. If the film gets great reviews and a lot of social media excitement, the opening weekend could be even bigger than expected.
It’s also worth noting that for superhero movies that aren’t sequels (or Avengers movies because that’s not really fair to compare) having an opening weekend that’s around $100 million is a solid amount and indicates a successful film. Captain Marvel also isn’t as well-known of a character as others in the MCU, and this is her introduction. If the film does exceptionally well, fantastic, and if it averages out, that’s still a success.